JT

May 042012
 

I can’t decide what’s funnier in this ad spot for Samsung’s Galaxy S III: the lack of airtime the product gets or the way the messaging between non-product stock model jaunts is written like something you’d get if you sent your script to Your Man in India. Seriously: “shares the warmth of nature” – followed by an image of a guy and his kid in front of the TV.

And it’s a little creepy how many of these messages could be used to describe your stalker, as opposed to your smartphone.

Android truth in advertising

I guess it’s better than their Baristas debacle. At least they had sense (rimshot!) enough to keep the product off the screen.

 Posted by at 3:18 pm
May 032012
 

You really had to wonder what else Android manufacturers could pack into their handsets to differentiate themselves from each other. A lot of hype was leading up to the release of Samsung’s Galaxy S III, the successor to the top-selling S II, so you can imagine there were some cries of disappointment when the device was announced today in London. In the place of the S II’s 4.5″ screen there was a…4.8″ screen. While resolution increased from 800 x 480 to 1280 x 720, the screen was downgraded to a PenTile display that’s gotten a lot of flak as inferior to the HD Super AMOLED Plus (Jesus, they can’t even name their displays with less than 20 characters) that the S II sported. Improvements to the camera were…not part of the specs – the front-facing camera actually received a minor downgrade (from 2.0 MP to 1.9)  But it did get a faster processor, which is a good thing because the S III features Samsung’s latest flavor of stock Android topping: Sense. The marquis feature was a voice interface dubbed Sorry S Voice, because no iteration of a Samsung product would be complete without one blatant knock-off of the most current iPhone. Oh – and the S III has Bluetooth 4.0, which is a monster upgrade to the S II’s 3.0.

So you have a highly-anticipated smartphone successor that offers only incremental upgrades to the handset that came before it. And if you use the word “incremental” to describe the 4S, the S III is “micromental”. It’s basically a mash-up of 2 of Samsung’s most recent phones (the S II and Galaxy Nexus) with a Siri knock-off. The Engadget commenters are not pleased. Samsung does have a sweet new catchphrase though:

Celebrating our redundant redundancy

And Sense. Let’s not forget Sense.

Update: I was half kidding when I said the S III’s S Voice was a knock-off of Siri.

True to form, the only error is the initial screw-up of the request.

Image source: Sebastiaan de With

Un-fucking-believable.

 Posted by at 3:29 pm
May 032012
 

My feelings on Apple’s litigious nature are mixed. On the one hand, Apple has a right – perhaps even a duty to its shareholders – to defend its intellectual property. Legal protection is theoretically one of the most important barriers between Apple and the army of knock-offs willing to clone their innovations. On the other hand, the practical limits of what patent litigation has accomplished for Apple has been negligible. Tens of thousands of billable hours have yielded only minor victories for Apple, and none of them have been in this country. I attribute this to equal parts volume and systemic apathy. Apple has the most control over the volume, but the effectiveness of the system leaves a lot to be desired. Take the most recent example from Apple’s case against Samsung in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California, presided over by the Honorable Judge Lucy Koh.

Koh has been riding the parties to “streamline their claims” if they want to have their scheduled July 30 day in court. In other words, she wants them to reduce the volume to only those claims deemed the most important, some number that will make it possible for a jury to fairly consider them in the 25 hours each party will get to present their various arguments. Currently, Apple has 16 patents, 6 trademarks, 5 trade dress claims, and an antitrust case spanning 37 of Samsung’s products. Apparently this number was whittled down from some previous number, but it’s still a volume that Koh feels is too large to be reasonably presented. Koh threatened that if the parties could not come to terms, she may have to push the trial back to 2013. This begs a few of questions/observations in my mind:

  • What is that number? Apple tried to get that out of Koh, but she won’t – and likely can’t – say. Apple’s counsel said ”We will do whatever we need to do to hold the trial date.”
  • Who benefits from having that number reduced? You can argue that Apple benefits from expediency, but the clear winner is Samsung. Fewer pellets in your buckshot means a lower probability of scoring a hit. I’m sure Apple feels like every one of their claims is important or they wouldn’t have patented them.
  • Who benefits from having the trial pushed back? This one is a no-brainer. Every day that Samsung gets to knock off Apple’s patent-”protected” innovations undeterred makes Samsung money. So Apple is put in a position of having to reduce its claims or face another year of Samsung selling products that derive some of their value from features that are supposedly protected by Apple’s intellectual property.

This dynamic puts a gun to Apple’s head and forces them to reduce the impact of their claim – claims that were substantiated by patents granted – because the judge doesn’t believe the number of claims can be fairly presented. That number is being left up to the adversaries in this case to decide jointly and the judge will “know it when she sees it”.

Imagine if this happened in criminal proceedings. “The defendant is accused of 12 counts of murder, but that’s a onerous number of charges for a jury to consider. Mr. DA, get with the accused’s defense counsel and see if you can pare those counts back to something more reasonable – whatever that is. And be quick about it or I’ll have to postpone the trial. Until then, the accused has posted bail, so he’s free to go until you settle on some nebulous “more reasonable” number of counts. Victims’ families? You’re going to have to wait for closure. Public at large? Your safety is secondary to the jury’s ability to process the counts that the defendant is accused of.”

Now this analogy is skewed toward hyperbole obviously, but I’m due for a little. For one, I’m ignoring Samsung’s counterclaims, but these would not have been made if Apple didn’t go after them first. My point is that a system that forces the claimant to reduce the impact of their claim – by jointly working with the opposing party in the claim – creates a dynamic where the plaintiff loses much more than they gain. It undermines the very notion of intellectual property protection.

 Posted by at 12:31 pm
May 032012
 

Not only does The NPD Group, Inc. produce inaccurate market share snapshots derived from statistically insignificant surveys, they also try to predict things. Like all consumer electronics analysts, they follow TMA Directive #1* for market share prognostication. Let’s take a look at NPD’s wisdom applied to the (snicker) 2017 tablet market:

That 2017 Android share looks mighty...high (giggle)

I’ve taken some whacks at the logic of extending a data point indefinitely as the foundation of your “analysis”, so I won’t repeat myself. Suffice it to say, if NPD can’t come close to getting the smartphone market data right for the current quarter, there’s nothing to make me think they’ll be on the same planet guessing share for the tablet market in 2017.

*extend market share predictions far out enough in the future to inoculate yourself from any possible scrutiny
 Posted by at 11:19 am
May 032012
 

A couple of days ago I poked fun at smartphone industry analysts, suggesting that perhaps the wiring between their heads and asses needed some troubleshooting. Apparently, I’m not the only one who thinks this. Jay Yarow writes for the wildly inconsistent (see yesterday’s Quick Hits) Business Insider that NPD’s 61% Android first quarter market share doesn’t add up. The iPhone made up 51, 78 and 60% of sales from the top 3 carriers, Verizon, AT&T and Sprint, respectively. So how is it possible for Android to account for 61% of the market?

Surveys.

NPD doesn’t dig into the market like some other firms do. Because Samsung doesn’t report its sales anymore, it’s hard to blame them. Surveys are fine for measuring preferences, but they suck for something as exacting as market share data should be. Yarow gets the skinny from NPD:

Ross Rubin, executive director for Connected Intelligence at NPD, told us NPD’s data is based on surveying 12,811 consumers about what smartphones they bought in the first quarter. We asked why he didn’t cross it with actual reported results. He said that’s not part of their methodology. He also suggested that the discrepancy could be coming from the rise of pre-paid phones ed: LULZ!.

NPD surveyed 12,811 people in a market that conservatively sold over 10 million smartphones. That’s one-tenth of one percent of the market. Extrapolating share from this data is beyond ridiculous, which is why you get this kind of embarrassing misreporting that NPD passes off as fact. Facts that were debunked by adding 3 numbers together. Maybe Ross and Andy are brothers? They seem to share the same love of evasive mathematics.

 Posted by at 9:52 am
May 022012
 

Taking in all the brain-rot that surrounds Apple everyday can be a daunting task, especially when a news item (or what passes for news) is basically retweeted from the original source 1,500 times. Your attention span demands brevity and sarcasm in equal amounts. In that spirit, let’s dig into today’s Apple-related news:

Apple Banning iOS Apps That Feature Dropbox Integration

I like to read these stories with “Suspense Accents 2″ from GarageBand playing on a loop to heighten the sense of drama. Evil Apple is banhammering apps that link to Dropbox, the beloved cloud service that Steve Jobs tried to buy. What possible reason could Apple have for this slight? Well, Apple doesn’t allow 3rd parties to link to subscription services. When you don’t have Dropbox installed on your iOS device, you’re taken to Dropbox’s website, where you can buy additional storage. Yes, it’s dumb, but Dropbox and Apple are in conversations for a workaround, so this will be even more of a non-issue than it was when it was first reported, if that’s possible.

Judge Richard Posner says: “I’ve had my fill of frivolous filings by Apple.”

Ever wonder if the prickish tendencies of your favorite television judge extended to their real world counterparts? Looks like the judge presiding over the Apple-Motorola trial in the United States District Court, Northern District of Illinois isn’t afraid to speak his mind. He ragged on the quality of Motorola’s claim construction, calling it “ridiculous” and now he’s speaking candidly about a motion Apple filed, including some colorful language. The term “prejudicial” comes to mind, but I’m not one of the most famous intellectual property scholars of the 20th century, who by most accounts Posner is. I’d hate to be a kid caught playing on his lawn.

German Court Grants Motorola an Injunction against Windows 7 and Xbox 360 Based on FRAND Patents

Guess the terms “Fair, Reasonable and Non-discriminatory” don’t mean what they used to. In an effort to redefine the term “irony”, Google’s soon-to-be plaything has successfully used standards-essential patents to affect an injunction in Germany. The global court machinery all but guarantees that an actual injunction won’t happen (there’s a trial pending outcome in the U.S., for one), but the precedent is disgraceful. I’m sure that “firewall” Google has between itself and Motorola is enough to inoculate themselves in their minds. It’s not. Google should be fucking ashamed of themselves. And they know it.

Apple Responsible for Half a Million Lost Jobs

Looks like BusinessInsider is turning that pageview crank extra hard today. Here’s your logic: Apple’s meteoric rise has impacted a bunch of technology companies negatively. Well that sucks. Maybe Apple should consider being less successful. Here are your options, tech corporation roadkill: innovate and lead, downsize and follow, go out of business, or…

Nokia Files Patent Litigation against HTC, Research in Motion and ViewSonic in the US and Germany

Litigious Hack Nokia is claiming these companies infringe on 45 of their – wait for it – standards-essential patents. It remains to be seen whether the terms set forth by Nokia will constitute the same kind of egregious abuse that GoogleRola is trying to lay on Microsoft.

BlackBerry Announces BlackBerry 10 at BlackBerry World Keynote

What would have drawn a day’s worth of exclusive coverage 5 years ago drew a yawn from the tech community. BlackBerry announced its new operating system, BlackBerry 10, complete with an alpha developer build. Because the future of the company basically rides on the new OS, the Keynote will chock full of details and app demos. Actually, no. Details were spotty and developers you’ve never heard of (with the exception of Gameloft) were trotted out to the stage to vow their commitment to the platform. Really. RIM even guaranteed that devs will make $10K off their apps or they’d write them a check for the difference. I’d make sure I got in at the front of that line. It’s a shame that 10 actually has some cool features, like the ability to “rewind” faces in a picture if you don’t like how it turned out (makes much more sense when you see the video demonstration). RIM also has an interesting take on text auto-prediction built into its touch keyboard. Those features weren’t enough to rescue an underwhelming, narrative keynote. TheVerge probably has the best coverage, if anyone still cares.

Google Updates Google Docs With New Fonts, Templates, More

For the three companies that can use Google docs collaboratively and with clients, apparently you can now bedazzle them with Roboto and hope they don’t open it in Word. You know – the program that everyone else in the business world has to use. And try not to look surprised when your search results include ads from your top 5 competitors.

 Posted by at 4:40 pm
May 022012
 

I love Internet memes. I could spend all day reading clever captions bracketing random images. I don’t think anyone who loves memes really knows why. It doesn’t matter.

Just as all great philosophy can be nuggetized into pithy one-liners, so too does the tech beat lend itself to summary meming. I give you TMemeA:

 Posted by at 8:53 am
May 012012
 

Have you ever thought to yourself “Man, those consumer electronics analysts look like they have a lot of fun?” If they’re not making up market share percentages for dates 5 or 10 years in the future, they’re having a hoot trying to guess how many smartphones were sold by Samsung in the past 3 months. All numbers, but none of the pesky math that real businesses tend to gravitate towards.

Well now you can live the life of a consumer electronics analyst at your son or daughter’s next party with Pin the Tail on the Samsung Units Sold!

Call now and you'll get Gartner's prediction for the 2057 smartphone market FOR FREE!

Did Samsung sell 32 million, 47 million or 42 million smartphones last quarter? Did they sell them to actual people or just stuff them into the channel? With this game, it doesn’t matter because Samsung doesn’t tell you! Just like junior’s tee ball games where they don’t keep score, everyone wins!

Just call 1-800-ANALYST now and for the low price of $15,999, you can get the game complete with logos from the industry’s most prominent analysts! Feel the rush of pinning random methodologies on a cartoon donkey at your next party today!

 Posted by at 3:45 pm
May 012012
 

I’m sure you’ll see a lot of this in your RSS this morning: according to IDC (vomits in mouth, swallows), Samsung once again leads the market in shartphones sold shipped made, holding an alleged 29% share with over 42 million units…moved. Because I’m too lazy to make my own chart:

*estimates to be taken with salt

This figure is at odds with the 32 million unit estimate that Strategy Analytics came up with for Samsung’s Q1. Samsung doesn’t release actual sales numbers like Apple does, so a little bit of disparity is inherent.

Of course, the actual money made off of each unit is slightly different. Samsung is estimated to average about a 12% margin for each of its phones; the iPhone’s margins are north of 45%. The difference can be explained thusly: Apple is a greedy bastard vendor that extracts exorbitant margins across the backs of exploited Chinese laborers. I’m kidding. The explanation is a little more simple:

iPhone models: 3GS, 4, 4S

Samsung models: Acclaim, Captivate i897, Captivate Glide i927, Conquer 4G, Continuum I400, Dart, Droid Charge, Epic 4G, Exhibit 4G, Exhibit II 4G, Fascinate, Galaxy 551, Galaxy A, Galaxy Ace S5830, Galaxy Apollo I5801, Galaxy Beam I8520, Galaxy Europa I5500, Galaxy Fit S5670, Galaxy Gio S5660, Galaxy I6500U, Galaxy 3 I5800, Galaxy I7500, Galaxy Indulge R910, Galaxy K M130K, Galaxy M Pro B7800, Galaxy Mini S5570, Galaxy Neo, Galaxy Nexus, Galaxy Note, Galaxy Pop i559, Galaxy Pop S5570, Galaxy Prevail, Galaxy Pro B7510, Galaxy Q, Galaxy R I9103, Galaxy S 4G, Galaxy S Giorgio Armani I9010, Galaxy S Hoppin M190, Galaxy S I9000, Galaxy S I909, Galaxy S II 4G, Galaxy S II HD, Galaxy S II LTE, Galaxy S II Skyrocket, Galaxy S II I927, I9001 Galaxy S PLUS, Galaxy S2 Mini, Galaxy 5 I5500, Galaxy S M110S, Galaxy SL I9003, Galaxy S LCD 4GB, Gravity SMART, Galaxy Spica I5700, Stratosphere

And these are just the Samsung shartphones that have been released in the last year and a half – the ones I could find anyway.

So while Samsung continues to vomit a bazillion barely differentiated smartphones into the market and enjoys immunity from groups pissed about how wasteful and greedy they are, Apple endures all the scrutiny and just keeps making the best ones.

 Posted by at 9:39 am
Apr 302012
 

There’s a very depressing trend in the media these days, one I suspect has been present for decades: using unsubstantiated sources to say stupid things about successful entities. Hitwhores like Business Insider and Gizmodo use sensationalist headlines and rumors about Apple the same way outhouse TP like OK Magazine and Us Weekly use “close friends” to titillate stupid people with their headlines about that status of Brad and Angelina’s relationship. Up until their scathing non-expose of Apple’s management of its supply chain, respected publications like The New York Times kept out of this cesspool. Now it seems like they’ve dove in head-first and are gleefully doing laps.

Our latest derision under the theme “Apple has so much cash” comes in a Times piece “How Apple Sidesteps Billions in Taxes.” It make come as a shock to some people, but Apple actively employs several means at its disposal to minimize its tax burden – all of them perfectly legal and used by hundreds of other tech companies. Why is Apple special? Because it’s so successful, obviously. Which leads us to statements in the article like this one, which ties Apple’s reduced payment of California sales tax to the welfare of state programs (cue the violins):

Such lost revenue is one reason California now faces a budget crisis, with a shortfall of more than $9.2 billion in the coming fiscal year alone. The state has cut some health care programs, significantly raised tuition at state universities, cut services to the disabled and proposed a $4.8 billion reduction in spending on kindergarten and other grades.

And California is such a well-run state! Apple is taking money from cripples! From kindergarteners! Why do you hate America, Apple?!

I’ve said it before, but it bears repeating: if you want corporations to become more responsible for the tax revenue “experts” bellyache about not getting, change the tax laws. Apple employs practices that every one of its competitors employs and pointing out how what you’re not getting from them affects social services does nothing. I was happy to see, however, that Apple didn’t like being singled out by the Times and actually had a response to the article printed. My favorite part:

We have contributed to many charitable causes but have never sought publicity for doing so. Our focus has been on doing the right thing, not getting credit for it.

Maybe the Times could direct its attention to the laws and lawmakers that make these practices possible, as opposed to pointing out hypothetical dollars lost by one of the numerous companies taking advantage of them. You know, what journalism used to look like.

Update: well it looks like the Times couldn’t even be bothered to accurately depict Apple’s tax rate. According to this piece in Forbes, the 2011 tax rate calculated by the Greenlining Institute was based on Apple’s profits in 2010, a laugher that sailed past the Times’ crack fact-checkers and used in the article. Tim Worstall, the author of the Forbes piece, calls it an “Appalling, ignorant, calculation cobbled together by [a] small time think tank.” Another fine piece of journalism from The Gray Lady.

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